date: Tue Feb 13 14:04:57 2001 from: Mike Hulme subject: Re: happy new year to: Sari Kovats Sari, I have edited - tracking mode - the first 3-4 pages and added an extra reference and also an updated Figure. Use things as you wish. The detection statement is now from IPCC 2001. Your reviewer seems biased because IPCC is not infamous. Re. Africa, you can cite my paper - Hulme,M., Doherty,R.M., Ngara,T., New,M.G. and Lister,D. (2001) African climate change: 1900-2100 Climate Research (in press) which talks about the Sahel. I will copy for you the penultimate draft of Chapter 2 in WGI IPCC TAR which is the observations chapter. Good luck - good to see you are still so productive!! Mike At 16:22 12/02/01 +0000, you wrote: Hello Mike - Better late than never to wish you a happy new year. Hope the Tyndall centre is going well. I know you are very very busy - but please could you do me a small favour and have a look at a paper I have written with Tony on early effects on heatlh. I am having conceptual difficulties about what is climate change - especially does it make any sense for attribution on the local scale? If you could just read the first two pages - thanks very much. THis is one of the reviewers' comments "Referee 3 The opening section makes no sense climatologically. Change has always been a characteristic of climates. The lack of references, except for the infamous IPCC, is symptomatic of a lack of knowledge. " I would also be grateful if you could point me in direction of evidence for long term drying in African sahel - is it in WGI chapters? Is it possible to get a copy of WGI chapter on observed chagnes in climate? best wishes - see you in March at the Symposium. Sari ******************* Sari Kovats Research Fellow Centre on Globalisation, Environmental Change and Health Dept of Epidemiology and Population Health London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine Keppel St London WC1E 7HT tel: +44 20 7612 7844 fax: +44 20 7580 6897 sari.kovats@lshtm.ac.uk