cc: Martin Juckes <M.N.Juckes@rl.ac.uk>, Myles Allen <m.allen1@physics.ox.ac.uk>, <t.osborn@uea.ac.uk>, Keith Briffa <k.briffa@uea.ac.uk>
date: Thu, 24 Feb 2005 16:40:41 +0000 (GMT)
from: Martin Juckes <M.N.Juckes@rl.ac.uk>
subject: Re: Millenial Temperature Reconstruction Intercomparison and
to: hegerl@duke.edu


Thanks Gabi,

I think that will fit in well, especially the systematic checking --
which is precisely what they want to pay for, I think.

I'll try to send out a slightly extended outline tomorrow.

cheers,
Martin

On Wed, 23 Feb 2005 hegerl@duke.edu wrote:

> 
> Hi all,
> 
> WIthout having looked at the proposal (my home day today, so can
> 't look), I have already looked
> into scaling various reconstructions with a nonbiased technique (tls), and
> find that it makes some difference particularly to records that don't
> correlate magnificently with the target of reconstruction. So my hope is
> to sell this as part of the plan, and write it up. But there also seems a
> real difference, Mann and
> jones for example even if tls scaled has less variance than Esper et al.
> because in that reconstruction, the early 20th century is probably the
> strongest excursion, while in Esper et al earlier variability is stronger.
> So there still is real differences in record.
> so what I hope to add to the proposal is stuff I have already well
> started, but
> needs to be checked more systematically, and
> written up). Tom and I also have a new reconstruciton taht is submitted
> for publication (apart from one last iteration with Cos) with tls and is
> quite similar to Moberg et al
> 
> Gabi
> 
> On Wed, 23 Feb 2005, Martin Juckes wrote:
> 
> >
> > Hello,
> >
> > I've finally got around to sketching a rough plan of objectives and
> > deliverables. Given the small amount of money and the specific aims
> > there is not much room for innovative thinking, but hopefully the
> > work done within the poroject will be helpful to work which people
> > are already doing.
> >
> > Essentially, I'm proposing to assemble/get hold of a representative
> > proxy database and run a representative set of reconstruction methods
> > on the same data.
> >
> > The proposal has to be submitted before Thursday, March 10, so we have
> > two weeks to come up with it.
> >
> > A rough outline is attached.
> >
> > Martin
> >
> >
> 
> --------------------------------------------------------------------
> Gabriele Hegerl
> Dept. of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment
> Duke University, Durham NC 27708
> phone 919-684-6167, fax 919-684-5833
> email: hegerl@duke.edu   http://www.eos.duke.edu/Faculty/hegerl.html
> ---------------------------------------------------------------------
> 
> 
> 
>