cc: mitrie -- Anders Moberg , Eduardo Zorita , Jan Esper , Keith Briffa , Myles Allen , Nanne Weber , t.osborn@uea.ac.uk date: Mon, 13 Feb 2006 08:26:37 +0000 from: Martin Juckes subject: Re: Draft conclusions for report to Netherlands Environment to: hegerl@duke.edu Hi Gabi, I think you are right that all the results have overlapping error bars, and are consistent in that sense. The problem is that they do have different estimates of extreme temperatures and we don't know which is right (and simply taking the average is not a scientifically well justified option). I'll try to adjust the text to make it clear that known and quantified sources of error could be responsible for all the differences between the reconstructions, cheers, Martin On Friday 10 Feb 2006 03:57, hegerl@duke.edu wrote: > > the Northern Hemisphere, and 1998 is likely to have been the warmest