cc: nth@WPO.NERC.AC.UK, rcpad@WPO.NERC.AC.UK date: Tue, 02 Jun 1998 15:18:26 +0100 from: Geraint Webber subject: PALAEOCLIMATE PROPOSAL to: K.Briffa@uea.ac.uk Dear Dr Briffa Dr Neville Hollingworth has asked me to formally invite you on behalf of ESTB to become a member of a small working group which is being set up to develop a Palaeoclimate proposal. Your name was suggested by the Earth Science & Technology Board as a potential member due to your expertise and research into climate change. Following the May ESTB meeting it was decided to meet with the Atmospheric Science community in order to consider furthering the proposal via a brainstorming meeting. A draft palaeoclimate proposal was produced following a discussion between Professor Boulton, Professor Lowe, Professor Shackleton and the office secretariat during Geoscience *98 in Keele and was discussed at the May ESTB meeting. The Board felt that - the proposal lacked a significant novel component. In attempting to interface the geological climate record with the modelling activities of the atmospheric community, it would be necessary to establish the historical data requirements needed to validate and populate the current and proposed new climate prediction models. The geological record is essential to exploring timescales and changes from non-linear (but predictable) to chaotic climatic conditions. The Chief Executive pointed out that the key drivers of climate research will probably arise from the Kyoto summit and include carbon budgets, regional climate prediction, biogeochemical cycles, with the palaeoclimate record per se probably lower down the list of priorities. Linking the ancient record to the modelling criteria will therefore be essential. With the above in mind I would be grateful if you could: a) confirm whether you would be willing to become involved in the palaeoclimate proposal and its possible development as a joint board bid (with ASTB). (A copy of the draft proposal is attached for your reference and comments are welcome); and if so, b) confirm by Monday 8th June any free dates in your diary for an am or pm meeting between now and June 18th. The venue will be London or Swindon. Relevant papers will be circulated as soon as a date is fixed. For your information, the following individuals have been invited onto the working group: Prof N Shackleton (Godwin Lab, Cambridge) Prof J Lowe (Geography, Royal Holloway) Dr P Gibbard (Plant Sciences, Cambridge) Prof M Pilling (Chemistry, Leeds & ASTB Chairman) Dr K Briffa (Environmental Sciences, Climatic Research Unit, UEA) Dr P Valdes (Meteorology, Reading) Should you wish to discuss further details please contact the ESTB secretariat - Dr Roger Padgham or Dr Neville Hollingworth on 01793 411573 or 411527 respectively. Yours sincerely Geraint Webber *********************************** Mr Geraint Webber Earth Science & Technology Board Science Programmes Directorate Natural Environment Research Council Polaris House North Star Avenue SWINDON SN2 1EU 01793 411687 (Direct Line) 01793 411545 (Fax) ************************************ begin 644 DRAFT_GB.WPD M_U=00PT.```!"@(!`````@4```"L,`````(``#Q45C>3F-*Q6*J:OE?4L[]S M2$F$;0,JG^ZL9OT<2,2SM,QQ-K.WKM:--^:XEBAWCP5*B6#4>0\I/!B88CZZ MP[U-9#,7Y**W=E5<>J3%C*"Z6<**64^Z?L,,PI:WM+^83\%B'F"-^X3OWT]) MKM+\[`=[33*FJKGWJQ/<;OHK\5 M=Q)J..:>[,D5O0U2I"+OA>\GL!]H-0YSW:U'2J.+P[`5,-+N1!K)$"E"57CY MJ.UE#_[B&A&\GAK2M#,Q0/B1<'>9:!X=WA#TDP$D=VQ>0YJ(PFMH\&&W703Z M:]>&ES&7"VOE:X/_)8W=D&Y\Q&59X2#!:ENZ?>]FJ^OF94FW2C2;TUC-%+UV M,=;/?;Y4"N0:Z>J+#IZ\5QPWUE.S/+:2]*U;A&CZZQ"Q<7+^QLLQOOEE>KT( M_MHOQB?I+P@\3T8/0P!VE#8U)E)OYXG8G,7YA`D=NGTZ?'.0^8FT^+`_Q&BN M&N[+O5GJ\=.B^/1`C1A-*+$[*1B$;F\ITWM+A\XIRFVQN@634HE98V,.*;S% MW;7)"1UIJ25>+\HV#("`"?D"`%<```````````````@C`0````L!``#"!@`` M`%4"````3@```,T'```))0$````&````&P@```LP`P```-H!```A"```"`4! M````"````/L)```(=P$```!``````PH```@T`0```!0```!#"@``"`(!```` M#P```%<*```""`$```!;`0``9@H```LP`@```/8!``#!"P```&4!````"@`` M`+<-````````````````MPT```````````````"W#0```````````````+<- M````````````````MPT```````````````"W#0```````````````+<-```` M````````````MPT```````````````"W#0```````````````+<-```````` M````````MPT```````````````"W#0```````````````+<-```````````` M````MPT```````````````"W#0```````````````+<-```````````````` MMPT```````````````"W#0```````````````+<-````````````````MPT` M``````````````"W#0```````````````+<-````````````````MPT````` M``````````"W#0```````````````+<-````````````````MPT````````` M``````"W#0```````````````+<-````````````````MPT````````````` M``"W#0```````````````+<-````````````````MPT```````````````"W M#0```````````````+<-````````````````MPT```````````````"W#0`` M`````````````+<-````````````````MPT```````````````"W#0`````` M`````````+<-````````````````MPT```````````````"W#0`````````` M`````+<-````````````````MPT```````````````"W#0`````````````` M`+<-````````````````MPT```````````````"W#0```````````````+<- M````````````````MPT```````````````"W#0```````````````+<-```` M````````````MPT```````````````"W#0```````````````+<-```````` M````````MPT```````````````"W#0```````````````+<-```````````` M````MPT```````````````"W#0```````````````+<-```````````````` MMPT```````````````"W#0```````````````+<-````````````````MPT` M``````````````"W#0```````````````+<-````````````````MPT````` M``````````"W#0```````````````+<-````````````````MPT````````` M``````"W#0```````````````+<-````````````````MPT````````````` M``"W#0``"S`'````3````,$-````F$@`4``@`$0`90!S`&L`2@!E`'0`(``X M`#4`,`!#`"``4P!E`'(`:0!E`',````````````````````````````````` M````````2%!21$I#,#,``````"P`*`*@`*``H`"@`"P`*`(P```````````` M```````````````````````````````````````````````````````````` M```````````````````````````````````````````````````````````` M```````````````````````````````````````````````````````````` M````````````````````]K\H`-8>PP\Y"```$0D```!:``L!`(L4-@!4`&D` M;0!E`',`(`!.`&4`=P`@`%(`;P!M`&$`;@`@`%(`90!G`'4`;`!A`'(````` M```````!``(`6`(!````!``H````L@$```````````````````$2W^DD`*$` M``"A````U!P2```"`%5+55,N`"P`$@#4U``.```"`"X`+@`.`-34`0X```(` M+``L``X`U-,%#````0`!``P`T],&#````0````P`T],"#````0`9&0P`T],# M#````0`*"@P`T]$15`$`4@``5V#/-L$F`0`$00`T```````````````````` M```````````````````````````````````````````````````````````` M`````````````%=@SS;!)@$`!$$`-``````````````````````````````` M```````````````````````````````````````````````````````````` M``@`T#;")@$`!$$`-``````````````````````````````````````````` M``````````````````````````````````````````````````@`T#;")@$` M!$$`-``````````````````````````````````````````````````````` M``````````````````````````````````````````!4`=$!``0``@````H` M``"5``(`6P"6``(`6P"7``(`6P"8``(`6P"9``(`6P":``(`6P";``(`6P"< M``$``@"=``$``@">``$``@",5;(D``````````````````````@S?`!X``$" M``">`````P$`"@```%$!``#="A``@P$*``,`3!@I$`#=U!P2```"`%5+55,N M`"P`$@#4U``.```"`"X`+@`.`-34`0X```(`+``L``X`U-,%#````0`!``P` MT],&#````0````P`T],"#````0`9&0P`T],##````0`*"@P`T]T+"P`#```$ M"P#=U!L?`(`!`@`(`"P!ZZ0%`"P!``!8`@(`6`(``!\`U-,%#````0```0P` MT]0N<@"#`0L``0`!8@!3`#H`7`!3`%``1`!/`%``7`!3`%0`0@!<`$4`4P!< M`$(`3P!!`%(`1`!<`%``4@!/`$<`4P!<`%``00!,`$$`3P!%`$,`3`!<`$0` M4@!!`$8`5`!?`$<`0@`N`%<`4`!$`'(`U%,Z7%-01$]07%-40EQ%4UQ"3T%2 M1%Q04D]'4UQ004Q!3T5#3%Q$4D%&5%]'0BY74$34+PH``P``"@#4`0````0` M*````,X!```````````````````!,TP8)`"I````J0```-T*$`"#`00``P#? MZ2$0`-W4'!(```(`54M54RX`+``2`-34``X```(`+@`N``X`U-0!#@```@`L M`"P`#@#4TP4,```!``$`#`#3TP8,```!````#`#3TP(,```!`!D9#`#3TP,, M```!``H*#`#3T1%4`0!2``!78,\VP28!``1!`#0````````````````````` M```````````````````````````````````````````````````````````` M````````````5V#/-L$F`0`$00`T```````````````````````````````` M```````````````````````````````````````````````````````````` M"`#0-L(F`0`$00`T```````````````````````````````````````````` M````````````````````````````````````````````````"`#0-L(F`0`$ M00`T```````````````````````````````````````````````````````` M`````````````````````````````````````````%0!T=T+#``#`0``!`P` MW0$`"@````$````!````!``^``````````X```````````````,=`F,D`"(& M``!3`&T`80!L`&P`(`!#`&D`<@!C`&P`90```/`B!O#@,`H`````"@#@W0H0 M`(,!!``#`-_I(1``W=0<$@```@!52U53+@`L`!(`U-0`#@```@`N`"X`#@#4 MU`$.```"`"P`+``.`-33!0P```$``0`,`-/3!@P```$````,`-/3`@P```$` M&1D,`-/3`PP```$`"@H,`-/1$50!`%(``%=@SS;!)@$`!$$`-``````````` M```````````````````````````````````````````````````````````` M`````````````````````````)`SV"P``0`!(!4`T,SQ`I4`\?((\O$#E0#Q\0*4`/'R#/+Q`Y0`\51H M98!F;VQL;W=I;F>`;W5T;&EN97.`=&AE@'9I97>`;V:`86Z`15-40H!G8!A;F2``8F5T=V5E;H!H=6UA;H!A8W1I=FET>8!A;F2`8VQI;6%T M98!C:&%N9V4L@'1H98!F=71U2[0!!<```T` M"P`""`<2(@@'$B("(!<`T,PQ+C(NX#`,``````@'#`#@1V5N97)A;(!C:7)C M=6QA=&EO;H!M;V1E;'.`;V:`=&AE@&%T;6]S<&AE8!C;W5P M;&5D@'1O@&]C96%N@'!R;V-E2R`=VAI8VB`:&%V98!T:&5N M@&)E96Z`8V]M<&%R962`=VET:(!T:&6`<]D96UA;F2`88!S97)I;W5S@'!O;&EC>8!R97-P;VYS98!B>8!G;W9E M` M=&5M<&5R871E@'!E`=&5M<&5R871E@'!E2[0!!<```T`"P`""`<2(@@'$B("(!<`T,PR+N`P M#``````(!PP`X/(,\E1H98!/<'!O?,,\]`$'P``%0`3``$@(W`> M(0`!`@@'$B((!Q(B`B`?`-#,,BXQ+N`P#``````(!PP`X%1H98!52X!E87)T M:(!S8VEE;F-E@&-O;6UU;FET>8!H87.`<&QA>65D@&&`;6%J;W*`8#P(`3P36EL86YK;W9I=&-H\!\$\-`!%0``"P`)``'4)B0B M)0`!(!4`T&EN65A8!O8V5A M;B]I8V6`6YA;6EC`=&AE@&QA8`M@&%N86QO9V]U2S/ M;W1H97*`=&EM98!S;&EC97,L@&)U=(!W:71H@&QI='1L98!R96=A8!P;W-S:6)L92R`=&^`:6YV97-T:6=A=&6`=&AESVUE8VAA M;FES;7.`;V:`8!T M:&%N@'!R97-E;G1L>8!P;W-S:6)L98!T:&6`8V%P86-I='F`;V;/8V]M<'5T M97*`;6]D96QS@'1O@'-I;75L871E@'1R86YS:65N8V4NT`07```-``L``@@' M$B((!Q(B`B`7`-#,,BXU+N`P#``````(!PP`X%-I=&5S@&%N9(!M971H;V1S M@'=H:6-H@'=O=6QD@'!R;W9I9&6`:6UP;W)T86YT@&%R8VAI=F5S@&]F@&-H M86YG98!H879E@&)E96[0`14```L`"0`!_`Q,"`D``2`5`-!E@,#@`!`@@'$B((!Q(B`B`?`-#,,RXQ+N`P#``````( M!PP`X%1H98!M86=N:71U9&6`;V:`<&]S8!M=6-H MT`$5```+``D``703Q`X0``$@%0#09W)E871E<]T:&6`:6YS=')U;65N=&%L@')E8V]R9"Z` M1F]R@&%D=FEC98!B87-E9(!U<&]N@$=E;F5R86R`0VER8W5L871I;VZ`36]D M96R`*$=#32F`8!A'1R87!O;&%T98!T:&5I2R` M86YD@&EN@'!A`8V]N=')A8!T87)G970NST%P<')O<')I871E@'1E<&AR87.`979E M;G1S@'=I;&R`8F6`=7-E9(!A8!B96EN9X!A@'-U8FIE8W2` M9F]RSV1I?,,\]`$'P`` M%0`3``$@+W`J+@`!`@@'$B((!Q(B`B`?`-#,-"XQ+N`P#``````(!PP`X%1H M98!52X!P86QA96]C;&EM871E@&-O;6UU;FET>8!I8!A;F2`;6]D96QL:6YG@&EN@&&`<')O9W)A;6UE@&QI;FMI;F>`=&AE M@'-T8!T;X!M86ME@&&` M;6%J;W*`:6UP86-T@&]N@'1H9<]I;G1E8!A9V5N9&$N@-`$%P``#0`+``((!Q(B"`<2(@(@%P#0S/$" MDP#QU@(5`(`!"0`!``,``````/__%0#6\0.3`/$T+C0NX#`,``````@'#`#@ M4W5C:(!A@'!R;V=R86UM98!W;W5L9(!A;'-O@'!R;W9I9&6`88!F