cc: Fortunat Joos , drind@giss.nasa.gov, rahmstorf@pik-potsdam.de, olgasolomina@yandex.ru, hpollack@umich.edu, ricardo@lab.cricyt.edu.ar, jsmerdon@umich.edu, drdendro@ldeo.columbia.edu, tcrowley@duke.edu, oyvind.paasche@bjerknes.uib.no date: Tue, 9 Aug 2005 10:50:52 -0600 from: Jonathan Overpeck subject: Re: Section on last 2000-years to: Keith Briffa Hi Keith - This has been a really tough couple weeks for you, and we all thank you for finding the focus to help w/ the IPCC. I'm sure we'll be ok for FOD. Eystein and I will edit what you just sent, and send relevant pieces to David, who can check for cross-chapter consistency. Fortunat is not available this week. And... we don't have any time left for anything else. Of course, there is plenty of time for post-FOD improvements as you describe. Regarding my push to say more about the future, I'll try to keep it more subdued. You are right. Of course, where I think paleo directly informs the future, I'll keep pushing. Hopefully, you and Tim will be around for the next 24 hours for questions/dialog. We are very close. thanks again, Peck >Peck and Eystein >in case you tried (!), my phone has been broken for the last few >days (yes - honestly). >I am sorry I had to rush off - and stay longer than I had >anticipated . The funeral was delayed >while a post-mortem examination had to be held to establish the >precise cause of death. Ironic >that dad had struggled on having had at least 3 heart attacks, 2 >strokes, chronic diabetes and partial liver and kidney failure for >some years (besides being virtually immobile and completely blind >for 18 months). All in all , though it was a release, the actual >demise was sudden and unexpected and I managed to arrive too late to >be with him at the end. >Given the time constraint , this "final" revision is not as >considered as it might have been , but we have tried to take into >account all comments available , and have given considerable >attention to the IPCC terminology and emphasis on the bullet points >. At this stage , however, there are some clear areas where future >work will be required to keep abreast of recent developments and , >perhaps, to re-balance the emphasis and structure. I apologise for >not having responded directly to Fortunat, Stefan, Ricardo.Olga, >David and Tom, but please be aware that I have considered all of >their comments and done what I could to address them .Thanks >Fortunat and Ricardo (and Ed - who should be added to the list of >CAs) for the text and Figures and Henry and Jason for the help and >data . David's suggestions about re-ordering the paragraphs was >particularly difficult to resolve in my own mind , because I do see >the logic , but equally , did not want to interfere with the time >line approach to describing post- TAR work that underlies the >current structure. as you can see I decided to leave the order as it >was. It would be great if David and Fortunat could check cross >Chapter referencing (eg in relation to forcings and detection >chapters). We can revisit this , and the issue of McIntyre and >McKitrick (centering of PCs in Mann et al reconstruction - which is >clearly unfounded) until such time as the numerous responses are >published. >The new SH section is in , and the MWP box slightly amended to take >account of the new Figure. >Peck, I have considered your text on the regional section - and you >will see that I have edited out some relating to future (and >association between drought and SSTs) . I feel strongly that you are >venturing into "observational" territory and speculation beyond what >we should say. I have also amended the bullet points to reflect >this. YOU ARE THE ULTIMATE ARBITERS and it is up to you if you wish >to re-insert , but I will give you a continuing argument later about >our overstepping the "paleo" boundary. Note also that the bullet on >European summer 2004 has bee altered to reflect what was a last >minute , one-sentence , insertion in the first paragraph regarding >Jurg Lutterbacher's Science paper - as there was no mention of it >otherwise. We had to remove the reference to "700 years in France" >as I am not sure what this is , and it is not in the text anyway. >The use of "likely" , "very likely" and my additional fudge word >"unusual" are all carefully chosen where used. >Tim has been a rock in the last minute rush here - not only doing >the Figures , but also helping with the text. I am really grateful >to him. He has sent the text , with some comments, and highlighted >references, that need attention. If Oyvind can identify references >and handle these problems with Endnote , we are also really grateful. >The final references , if missing , are probably in the current >text, the previous Endnote library , or in sections of text sent by >Ricardo, Fortunat, Peck and Eystein. I trust when you guys have >stiched the new text back in and the Figures etc. we will perhaps >get a last chance to correct and check references etc. Thanks >Keith > > >-- >Professor Keith Briffa, >Climatic Research Unit >University of East Anglia >Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K. > >Phone: +44-1603-593909 >Fax: +44-1603-507784 > >http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/people/briffa/ -- Jonathan T. Overpeck Director, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth Professor, Department of Geosciences Professor, Department of Atmospheric Sciences Mail and Fedex Address: Institute for the Study of Planet Earth 715 N. Park Ave. 2nd Floor University of Arizona Tucson, AZ 85721 direct tel: +1 520 622-9065 fax: +1 520 792-8795 http://www.geo.arizona.edu/ http://www.ispe.arizona.edu/