date: Mon, 06 Apr 2009 14:47:18 +0200 from: "Eric BARDOU" subject: Dear Sir, to: Dear Sir, In charge of a project trying to inevstigat the link between debris flow and rock glacier in high alpine environement, I am seraching for publication about the potential increase of rainfall intensity due to climate warming. I have seen your paper (Evidence for trends in heavy rainfall events over the UK), but also other papers (related to the Alps) that show either a "non-trend" behaviour for the 20th century or even a decrease (based on prevision). May I ask you if you think that : * there will be increase in intensity everywhere in the world (this is what we could think from a simple energetical point of view) * that the non-trend behaviour for alpine region could be also due to weakest data (or shorter time serie) or any other artefacts (simplification) * that maritime region could react more straightforward to change than mountineous area where meteorology is dependant from more variable (topography, changing albedo across season, thermal inertia due to snow and ice, etc.) Do you know if there is a paper that make the summary (from a scientific point of view) of the possible evolution of the rainfall characteristics around the world Thank you in advance Best regards Eric ************************** Dr Eric Bardou CREALP (Alpine environment research center) av. de l'Industrie 45 CH-1950 Sion Switzerland phone +41 27 324 03 80 GSM +41 79 423 45 42