cc: Myles Allen , Tim Barnett , Keith Briffa , John Christy , Ulrich Cubasch , Arthur Dempster , Jean-Claude Duplessy , Chris Folland , Jo Haigh , Klaus Hasselmann , Gabriele Hegerl , Phil Jones , Gerbrand Komen , Richard Lindzen , J Mitchell , Gerald North , Tim Palmer , "V. Ramaswamy" , Ben Santer , David Sexton , Keith Shine , Peter Stott , Tom Wigley date: Wed, 8 Jul 1998 12:45:32 +0900 ("EDT) from: David Karoly subject: IPCC Detection/Attribution workshop to: Simon Tett Hi, This message is being sent to some of the participants at the EuroCLIVAR workshop held at the Hadley Centre in March. I have just returned to Australia from the IPCC Scoping meeting for the Third Assessment Report, held in Germany last week. As you may have heard in Bracknell or from other sources, John Mitchell and I have been asked to be the coordinating lead authors for the chapter on detection and attribution, and the other lead authors identified so far are Francis Zwiers and Vincente Barros(from Argentina). We were all at the meeting in Germany. Enough background, now to the reason for contacting you. We would like to hold a workshop for likely contributors to the chapter immediately after another conference that is likely to attract a number of the relevant people. We agreed that immediately after the AMS Annual Mtg in January in Texas would be best as we need to have a first complete draft of the chapter completed by the middle of 99. We plan to have the workshop over two days, the Friday and Saturday, immediately after the AMS mtg. A venue for the workshop has not been finalised. We would like to hold it at a University in Texas, but our fall-back would be a room in the same hotel as the AMS meeting. These arrangements will be finalised soon. The bulk of the time in the two day workshop will be spent on presentations by people on their latest work and their plans for the future, if they are relevant to IPCC 2000. We will circulate a chapter outline soon, and have discussion on that for half a day at the workshop, but plenty of time for presentations from the participants. I expect that there would be many of the same people from the EuroCLIVAR workshop, plus some extras, and that we would be aiming at about 20-30 participants, who would be the likely contributors to the chapter. We will be encouraging as many people as possible to give talks at the AMS session, but they will be limited to 15 minutes. There will be much more time for discussion at the workshop. The relevant session at the AMS meeting is the 10th Symposium on Global Change Studies, being organised by Tom Karl. Abstracts for papers were due by 1 July but Tom has allowed late abstracts till about 15 July (he's away on vacation). There are a number of relevant sessions, including 2) solar-climate interactions, 3) model simulations of past, present and future climate, including results from CMIP, 7) climate change detection and attribution, 13) a special session on IPCC 2000. This session is scheduled to run all week but I think I can persuade Tom to make sure that our relevant sessions are not held on Friday. Further information is available at the AMS WWW site http://www.confex2.com/ams/99annual/authors/Change.htm Please note that abstracts should be sent via email to Tom Karl at tkarl@ncdc.noaa.gov and not via the AMS electronic submission system, as this may not allow late abstracts or not send them straight to Tom. If you are interested in being involved in this workshop and/or a contributor to the Detection/Attribution chapter of IPCC 2000, (i) please let me know via email, and (ii) consider submitting an abstract to the AMS mtg, to the Global Change symp, noting that late abstracts will only be accepted until about 15 July Best wishes, David ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Prof David Karoly CRC for Southern Hemisphere Meteorology Monash University phone: +61-3-9905 9669 Clayton VIC 3168 fax: +61-3-9905 9689 AUSTRALIA email: djk@vortex.shm.monash.edu.au ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~