date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:50:31 -0500 from: Edward Cook subject: NINO3 SST recon to: Keith Briffa Hi Keith, Here is the Nino3 DJF SST recon back to 1408. I have attached the mean estimates that are online at NGDC. The mean is the average of several split early/late calibration/verification runs with successively longer subsets of Tex-Mex chronologies. The plot below shows the way in which the mean was put together through overlay plots of the individual model recons. As you can see, there is a high degree of coherence between the estimates. The attached *.tabs file has all of the subset model estimates plus the mean and the actual data used for calibration/verification. So, you can look at the individual subset model recons as well. All of the models verify very well, by the way. I probably should have published this stuff years ago. I did it for Mark Cane. I have taken a quick look at that deconstruction of the MBH paper by McIntyre and McKitrick. They claim to show a number of errors in the data Mike used. I know that you and Tim have worked with Mike's data as well. Did you find the same things? I'm just curious. I don't plan on weighing in on this mess other than to suggest that Mike, Ray, and Malcolm are living in glass houses when they criticize the Esper work in the way they do. One needs to be very careful about criticizing the analyses of others because turn-around is fair play and payback is a bitch. That is all I have to say. Cheers, Ed [cid:a05200f00bbc6c3a359fa@[10.0.1.201].1.0] -- ================================== Dr. Edward R. Cook Doherty Senior Scholar and Director, Tree-Ring Laboratory Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory Palisades, New York 10964 USA Email: drdendro@ldeo.columbia.edu Phone: 845-365-8618 Fax: 845-365-8152 ================================== Embedded Content: NINO3_PLTS.pdf: 00000001,0ce56f72,00000000,00000000 Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\NGDC_NINO3_RECON" Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\NINO3_DJF_RECONS.tabs.txt"