date: Fri Sep 26 17:03:28 2008 from: Phil Jones subject: Re: Fwd: UNcertainty to: Keith Briffa , t.osborn@uea.ac.uk Keith, Tim, Just a few words to follow up our discussions. I'll be checking during next week, and you can also bring anything later out with you on Tuesday to Amsterdam. Emphasis for me is still Impacts (especially water), as this plays to CRU strengths in the obs data, access to model output (and UKCIP08) and the use of both in impacts models. We have some experience in the latter, much more than others in ENV. One key aspect is being at the start of impact projects, so we can inform the sector of what is possible observationally and what the models can and can't do. Our experience in this comes from all the ECLAT workshops. Water was always the most organized of the sectors, as they were used to running catchment models. In some EPSRC projects we are looking at building design - future proofing the latest designs. In all these sectors when people consider climate change, they initially go to the people they usually deal with - engineers, architects.designers etc. Climate Change then has to fit in with what people normally do. Cheers Phil At 14:41 26/09/2008, Keith Briffa wrote: IN CONFIDENCE From: "Tim Jickells" To: , "'J Andrews'" , "'Alastair Grant'" , "'Burgess Jacquelin Prof \(ENV\)'" , "'Andrew Watkinson'" , "'Turner Kerry Prof \(ENV\)'" Subject: UNcertainty Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2008 12:33:39 +0100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Office Outlook 11 Thread-Index: Ackfy7hdOeryv5qmRPu42iohCoUO0Q== I attach an attempt at trying to write up the discussion we had on Wednesday about a big idea for the VC for ENV. I have called it Uncertainty but given the possible resultant strap line of "we don't know what we're doing" I think we need a better title!. I have tried to imagine something that could stretch across much of ENV and in the process I have strayed into areas so far beyond my knowledge that there are heresies in here of considerable scale I suspect. I beg your indulgence and invite you to correct these and also consider if you still think this idea has merit in the cold light of day. I have aimed to keep this short and of course the devil is in the detail, but any pitch for the funding will initially deal with the idea not the detail. If there is a consensus to move this forward then we'll need to think how to do that. Tim Professor Tim Jickells School of Environmental Sciences University of East Anglia Norwich NR4 7TJ UK tel 01603593117, fax 01603 591327 -- Professor Keith Briffa, Climatic Research Unit University of East Anglia Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K. Phone: +44-1603-593909 Fax: +44-1603-507784 [1]http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/people/briffa/ Prof. Phil Jones Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090 School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784 University of East Anglia Norwich Email p.jones@uea.ac.uk NR4 7TJ UK ----------------------------------------------------------------------------