date: Wed, 26 May 2004 09:36:40 -0600
from: Tom Wigley <wigley@cgd.ucar.edu>
subject: Re: your email
to: Sarah Raper <sraper@awi-bremerhaven.de>

Thanx Sarah -- I am quite pleased with the volc paper, and letting it
sit for 15 months lead to some improvements.

I have used MAGICC to simulate all the PCM cases (solar, ghgs, etc)
and the results are generally good. I thought I might write up this
comparison across a spectrum of forcings with you as coauthor. The
main advantage of this is that it will put MAGICC at the top of the
list of simple models in terms of simulating AOGCMs.

For August, if I come up to Norwich it will probably be over the period
Aug. 25 through 27. So can you keep these dates open for now?

Best wishes,
Tom.
===============

Sarah Raper wrote:

> Dear Tom,
>
> Well done to get the volcano paper off. I re-read the previous version 
> - found a few typos (remember in introduction something a bit funny  - 
> looks like you have corrected that though. ) but otherwise I liked 
> it.  Especially like how it deals with the timescales and amount of 
> information on sensitivity , critic of LG etc.
>
> Re IPCC I have heard no more as yet except that soon they will post up 
> the authors on the IPCC web page. I think Jerry Meehl and Tom Stocker 
> are heading up the chapter I am on.
>
> Do you remember when we looked through Myles's ppt presentation he 
> showed the effect of sampling uniformly in delT2x versus the effect of 
> sampling uniformly in heat flux on the backed out 20th Century 
> temperature warming probability distribution? See below graph if it 
> comes across. Well using our sampling he converted back to a 
> distribution that looked more like the observed below but a bit 
> tighter - ie slightly higher and narrower, but not bad.
>
> No plan for August yet but it's a bit early.....
>
>
>
>