date: Tue, 18 Jul 2000 11:26:47 -0400 from: "Raymond S. Bradley" subject: Re: HIHOL to: Keith Briffa Here's what keith Alverson sent after I left--I don't really know why I'm suddenly the point man for all chapters, but needless to say, it's now July 18th & I've received nothing1 I have reworked the first sections of our chapter and await your N. Atlantic and other parts as soon as you can get to them Cheers Ray ______________________________________________ Dear PAGES synthesis writing team. Thanks to all of you for contributing to a productive meeting in Kandersteg last week. Below is a list of deadlines, and a quick reminder about the Chapter 8 contributions, that were agreed to. I will soon be sending a separate reminder about the glossy brochure. - Keith Deadlines: Ongoing Any figures that you plan to use in your chapter should be sent to Alverson as soon as they are available. July 15 short contributions for Chapter 8 sent to Bradley (cc Pedersen and Alverson). [see list below for topics, items in red have already been received] August 15 First authors to send individual draft chapters sent to Bradley (cc Pedersen and Alverson) Sept. 30 First authors to send individual chapter in reviewable form to Bradley [including an endnote format reference database] (cc Pedersen and Alverson) rbradley@geo.umass.edu pedersen@eos.ubc.ca alverson@pages.unibe.ch Chapter 8 contributions: IPCC related list of boxes/myths: · Medieval warm period is warmer than late 20th century. (Hughes) · 20th century is a rebound from the Little Ice Age (Bradley) · Solar forcing is responsible for warming in recent decades (Bradley) · Rates of change in the past are just as fast as recent decades (Alverson) · Climate is not sensitive to greenhouse gas forcing (Raynaud) · Paleo-proxies do not support the instrumental period (Briffa) · Biota can adapt to ongoing and projected rates of change (and continue to support Humans) (Whitlock) · Humans will benefit from global warming (Pedersen) · The next ice age is on its way (duration of the holocene) (Labeyrie) · We don’t need to worry about ‘surprises’ (Overpeck) · Sea level will drop due to ice sheet thickening (Labeyrie) · Human society is not vulnerable to future environmental changes (Messerli) · Technology will solve all potential problems (Overpeck) · Human societies have not been influenced by environmental variability (Oldfield) Environmental processes draw out synthesis points from Ch5&6. (Oldfield) Uncertainties Multiproxy and multiarchive approach (oldfield) Variations in teleconnection patterns (cole) Stability of transfer functions (briffa) Changing ecosystem processes (Hughes) Mechanisms for climate signal phasing in time and space (stocker) Raymond S. Bradley Professor and Head of Department Department of Geosciences University of Massachusetts Amherst, MA 01003-5820 Tel: 413-545-2120 Fax: 413-545-1200 Climate System Research Center: 413-545-0659 Climate System Research Center Web Site: <http://www.geo.umass.edu/cli mate/climate.html Paleoclimatology Book Web Site (1999): http://www.geo.umass.edu/climat e/paleo/html