cc: t.osborn@uea.ac.uk,hpollack@umich.edu,joos@climate.unibe.ch, rahmstorf@pik-potsdam.de,drind@giss.nasa.gov,tcrowley@duke.edu date: Fri, 17 Jun 2005 20:31:11 +0100 from: Keith Briffa subject: First draft of FOD to: jto@u.arizona.edu,eystein.jansen@geo.uib.no Peck and Eystein one day after the deadline only! attached in separate emails (only to you two - for integration and distribution) is the text and 2 Figures for the 2000 year section. I have included the last part (in green) as sent (I believe in preliminary form) by Ricardo (this is in green to indicate that I have not tried to edit it until Ricardo and others are ready- though I think it may be too large already - but see later). The section presently in blue, must (I think) be taken out (either to be put in supplementary information - as could other sections that I have actually taken out of the ZOD already - or dumped. I will not work on this assumption yet in case it will not happen). I have put in a bulleted summary section at the end (not including regional bullets) - please consider these as my contribution to the potential new bullets). We will have to see where the SH section Ricardo is writing with Ed Cook will go - no matter how brief I belive this has to go in - the large-scale moisture stuff from the ZOD has gone from this draft also and, if retained in some form, will have to go in the regional section also - as will monsoon if we have it - I do not see how this will can be accomplished without very heavy editing of this section (happy to help with this when appropriate). I have tried to incorporate all comments received on ZOD , while putting in the degree of detail I thought necessary about the most important stuff as I see it - given the severe space constraint I realise this needs further pruning but it will mean cutting flesh. David,Stefan, Fortunat and Henry and Tom Crowley's comments are essential now (we agreed to add Tom as CA in Beijing). Henry will need to help in paring down the GST citations where possible (hope he understands my attempts to revise his section while trying to keep all interested parties opinion's in mind). I particularly need feedback soon on the Figures - which Tim has worked heroically on (as well as helping me with text) for the past weeks. We believe we have come up with a great solution to a really difficult job of conveying a massive amount of information in these , clearly. Note the expanding time scale on the reconstruction Figure - and our way of showing the "average " confidence limits (*1.5) . This information is then transferred , after adjustment to another base period, to the simulations Figure . At least , the lower part of this must have a great chance of making the SFP. I am not sure how much space this text will take up after you reformat, but the Figures and associated legends should be allocated their own 2 pages. I am here for the next 2 weeks at least and ready to interact with yourselves and others regarding the next steps - especially for the regional section - but we need strong direction from The CLAs ( and the uncensored opinions of the LAs and CLAs on the current content and priorities . Over to you now -- Professor Keith Briffa, Climatic Research Unit University of East Anglia Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K. Phone: +44-1603-593909 Fax: +44-1603-507784