From: Mick Kelly To: Subject: RE: Global temperature Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2008 09:02:00 +1300 Yeah, it wasn't so much 1998 and all that that I was concerned about, used to dealing with that, but the possibility that we might be going through a longer - 10 year - period of relatively stable temperatures beyond what you might expect from La Nina etc. Speculation, but if I see this as a possibility then others might also. Anyway, I'll maybe cut the last few points off the filtered curve before I give the talk again as that's trending down as a result of the end effects and the recent cold-ish years. Enjoy Iceland and pass on my best wishes to Astrid. Mick > -----Original Message----- > From: P.Jones@uea.ac.uk [mailto:P.Jones@uea.ac.uk] > Sent: 24 October 2008 20:39 > To: Mick Kelly > Subject: Re: Global temperature > > > Mick, > They have noticed for years - mostly wrt > the warm year of 1998. The recent coolish years > down to La Nina. When I get this question I > have 1991-2000 and 2001-2007/8 averages to hand. > Last time I did this they were about 0.2 different, > which is what you'd expect. > In Iceland at a meeting that Astrid invited me to. > Cold with snow on the ground, but things cheap as the > currency has gone down 30-40% wrt even the pound. > > > Cheers > Phil > > > Hi Phil > > > > Just updated my global temperature trend graphic for a > public talk and > > noted > > that the level has really been quite stable since 2000 or > so and 2008 > > doesn't look too hot. > > > > Anticipating the sceptics latching on to this soon, if they > haven't done > > already, has anyone had a good look at the large-scale circulation > > anomalies > > over this period? I haven't noticed anything consistent > coming up in the > > annual climate reviews but then I wasn't really looking. > > > > Be awkward if we went through a early 1940s type swing! > > > > Hope all's well with you > > > > Mick > > > > ____________________________________________ > > > > Mick Kelly > > PO Box 4260 Kamo > > Whangarei 0141 New Zealand > > email: mick.tiempo@gmail.com > > web: www.tiempocyberclimate.org > > ____________________________________________ > > > > > >